Superliga (Denmark) · Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00 · Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Silkeborg IF
Likeliest: Silkeborg IF win · 37%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 37% for the away win. The market says 37%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sønderjyske Fodbold35%37%−2
OursMarket
Draw28%26%+2
OursMarket
Silkeborg IF37%37%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 61% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 62% | 63% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | 63% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 65% | 63% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 48% | 50% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sønderjyske Fodbold
LossDrawLossWinLoss
- Oct 12 · at AGF (A)0-3
- Sep 20 · v Randers FC (H)4-2
- Sep 16 · at AB (A)1-3
- Sep 13 · at Lyngby (A)1-1
- Sep 6 · v AC Horsens (H)2-5
Silkeborg IF
DrawDrawDrawWinDraw
- Oct 11 · v AC Horsens (H)3-3
- Sep 18 · at Lyngby (A)4-0
- Sep 13 · v Viborg FF (H)1-1
- Sep 5 · at AGF (A)2-2
- Aug 30 · v FC Midtjylland (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Sønderjyske Fodbold | Silkeborg IF |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-7 | 2-5-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-6 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.