Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 · Southampton vs Preston North End
Likeliest: Southampton win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Southampton40%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Preston North End35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Southampton
WinDrawDrawLossLoss
- Oct 25 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-2
- Oct 21 · at Bristol City (A)1-3
- Oct 18 · v Swansea City (H)0-0
- Oct 4 · at Derby County (A)1-1
- Sep 30 · at Sheffield United (A)2-1
Preston North End
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Oct 24 · v Sheffield United (H)3-2
- Oct 21 · v Birmingham City (H)0-1
- Oct 18 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-2
- Oct 4 · v Charlton Athletic (H)2-0
- Sep 30 · at Hull City (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Southampton | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-5-4 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-5-4 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.