FA Cup (England) · Sun, Jan 12 · 16:30 · Southampton vs Swansea City
Likeliest: Southampton win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Southampton47%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Swansea City26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Southampton
Loss
- Jan 4 · v Brentford (H)0-5
Swansea City
LossDraw
- Jan 4 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)1-1
- Jan 1 · at Portsmouth (A)0-4