Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Nov 2 · 13:30 · Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ
Likeliest: Sparta Rotterdam win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sparta Rotterdam45%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
AZ31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
LossDrawWinWinWin
- Oct 30 · v FC Groningen (H)5-2
- Oct 25 · v Telstar (H)1-0
- Oct 19 · at FC Groningen (A)2-0
- Oct 4 · v Ajax (H)3-3
- Sep 27 · at Heracles Almelo (A)0-3
AZ
LossWinWinWinWin
- Oct 26 · v FC Utrecht (H)4-1
- Oct 23 · v Slovan Bratislava (H)1-0
- Oct 18 · at Ajax (A)2-0
- Oct 5 · v Telstar (H)2-1
- Oct 2 · at AEK Larnaca (A)0-4
| Last 10 games | Sparta Rotterdam | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-4 | 6-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.