KNVB Beker (Netherlands) · Thu, Oct 30 · 19:00 · Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Groningen
Likeliest: Sparta Rotterdam win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sparta Rotterdam51%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
FC Groningen25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
LossLossDrawWinWin
- Oct 25 · v Telstar (H)1-0
- Oct 19 · at FC Groningen (A)2-0
- Oct 4 · v Ajax (H)3-3
- Sep 27 · at Heracles Almelo (A)0-3
- Sep 19 · v FC Twente (H)1-5
FC Groningen
WinLossWinLossWin
- Oct 25 · at Fortuna Sittard (A)2-1
- Oct 19 · v Sparta Rotterdam (H)0-2
- Oct 3 · at NAC Breda (A)2-1
- Sep 28 · v Feyenoord (H)0-1
- Sep 20 · v Telstar (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Sparta Rotterdam | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.