Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Mar 15 · 17:45 · Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle
Likeliest: Sparta Rotterdam win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sparta Rotterdam47%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
PEC Zwolle26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
WinLossLossWinDraw
- Mar 7 · at NAC Breda (A)1-1
- Mar 2 · v Willem II (H)4-0
- Feb 14 · at Go Ahead Eagles (A)0-1
- Feb 8 · at Feyenoord (A)0-3
- Feb 2 · v FC Groningen (H)1-0
PEC Zwolle
DrawLossDrawLossLoss
- Mar 9 · v Ajax (H)0-1
- Mar 2 · at Heracles Almelo (A)2-4
- Feb 16 · v SC Heerenveen (H)1-1
- Feb 9 · at AZ (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · v FC Utrecht (H)3-3
| Last 10 games | Sparta Rotterdam | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-2 | 2-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.