Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Dec 14 · 11:15 · Sparta Rotterdam vs SC Heerenveen
Likeliest: SC Heerenveen win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. The market says 42%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sparta Rotterdam35%33%+2
OursMarket
Draw24%26%−2
OursMarket
SC Heerenveen41%42%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 61% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 65% | 67% | −2 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 74% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | 44% | +2 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
LossLossDrawLossWin
- Dec 7 · v NAC Breda (H)1-0
- Nov 29 · at NEC Nijmegen (A)1-3
- Nov 22 · v Fortuna Sittard (H)1-1
- Nov 8 · at PEC Zwolle (A)0-1
- Nov 2 · v AZ (H)0-1
SC Heerenveen
DrawLossWinLossLoss
- Dec 6 · v PSV (H)0-2
- Nov 28 · at PEC Zwolle (A)1-2
- Nov 23 · v AZ (H)3-1
- Nov 8 · at Fortuna Sittard (A)0-2
- Nov 1 · at Ajax (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Sparta Rotterdam | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Sparta Rotterdam form·SC Heerenveen form·Head-to-head record