3rd Division, Group 2 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 17 · 13:00 · Spjelkavik vs FK Kvik
Likeliest: Spjelkavik win · 41%
A 32% away win. The market says 20%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Spjelkavik41%61%−19
OursMarket
Draw26%20%+7
OursMarket
FK Kvik32%20%+13
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | 80% | −13 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 39% | +19 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 80% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | 76% | −20 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Spjelkavik
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Oct 9 · at Herd (A)1-2
- Oct 4 · v Ranheim 2 (H)2-5
- Sep 26 · at Melhus (A)1-0
- Sep 21 · v Rosenborg BK II (H)0-4
- Sep 14 · at Aalesund FK II (A)2-3
FK Kvik
LossLossDrawLossWin
- Oct 10 · at Orkla (A)1-0
- Oct 3 · v Byasen Toppfotball (H)1-2
- Sep 26 · at Herd (A)0-0
- Sep 19 · v NTNUI (H)0-2
- Sep 12 · at Strindheim (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Spjelkavik | FK Kvik |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-6 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-0-3 | 1-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.