Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Nov 1 · 14:30 · St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Likeliest: St. Pauli win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
St. Pauli42%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Borussia Mönchengladbach31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
St. Pauli
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 25 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)0-2
- Oct 19 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)0-3
- Oct 4 · at Werder Bremen (A)0-1
- Sep 27 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)1-2
- Sep 19 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)0-2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
LossDrawLossLossWin
- Oct 28 · v Karlsruher SC (H)3-1
- Oct 25 · v FC Bayern München (H)0-3
- Oct 17 · at FC Union Berlin (A)1-3
- Oct 5 · v SC Freiburg (H)0-0
- Sep 27 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)4-6
| Last 10 games | St. Pauli | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-5 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
St. Pauli form·Borussia Mönchengladbach form·Head-to-head record