3rd Division, Group 4 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 10 · 13:00 · Staal Jørpeland vs Våg FK
Likeliest: Staal Jørpeland win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Staal Jørpeland42%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Våg FK30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Staal Jørpeland
LossWinDrawDrawWin
- Oct 2 · at Hinna (A)4-2
- Sep 25 · at Varhaug (A)0-0
- Sep 21 · v Viking FK II (H)2-2
- Sep 12 · at Brodd (A)3-1
- Sep 5 · v FK Mandalskameratene (H)0-2
Våg FK
WinWinDrawWinWin
- Oct 3 · v Varhaug (H)4-1
- Sep 26 · at Viking FK II (A)2-1
- Sep 19 · v Brodd (H)2-2
- Sep 12 · at Haugesund II (A)3-0
- Sep 5 · v Åkra (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | Staal Jørpeland | Våg FK |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.