Championship (England) · Wed, Mar 12 · 20:00 · Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers
Likeliest: Stoke City win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Stoke City42%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Blackburn Rovers31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Stoke City
WinLossLossDrawLoss
- Mar 8 · at Coventry City (A)2-3
- Mar 1 · v Watford (H)0-0
- Feb 25 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-3
- Feb 22 · at Norwich City (A)2-4
- Feb 15 · v Swansea City (H)3-1
Blackburn Rovers
WinWinLossDrawLoss
- Mar 8 · at Derby County (A)1-2
- Mar 1 · v Norwich City (H)1-1
- Feb 22 · at Swansea City (A)0-3
- Feb 15 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)2-0
- Feb 12 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | Stoke City | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-3-1 | 2-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.