Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 · Stoke City vs Bristol City
Likeliest: Stoke City win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Stoke City42%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Bristol City31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Stoke City
DrawDrawWinLossWin
- Oct 25 · at Portsmouth (A)1-0
- Oct 21 · at Millwall (A)0-2
- Oct 18 · v Wrexham (H)1-0
- Oct 4 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-1
- Sep 30 · at Middlesbrough (A)0-0
Bristol City
DrawLossWinWinWin
- Oct 25 · v Birmingham City (H)1-0
- Oct 21 · v Southampton (H)3-1
- Oct 18 · at Norwich City (A)1-0
- Oct 4 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-2
- Sep 30 · v Ipswich Town (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Stoke City | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.