Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 8 · 15:00 · Stoke City vs Coventry City
Likeliest: Stoke City win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Stoke City44%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Coventry City28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Stoke City
WinLossWinWinWin
- Nov 4 · at Oxford United (A)3-0
- Nov 1 · v Bristol City (H)5-1
- Oct 25 · at Portsmouth (A)1-0
- Oct 21 · at Millwall (A)0-2
- Oct 18 · v Wrexham (H)1-0
Coventry City
WinWinWinLossWin
- Nov 4 · v Sheffield United (H)3-1
- Oct 31 · at Wrexham (A)2-3
- Oct 25 · v Watford (H)3-1
- Oct 21 · at Portsmouth (A)2-1
- Oct 18 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Stoke City | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.