Championship (England) · Tue, Feb 25 · 19:45 · Stoke City vs Middlesbrough
Likeliest: Middlesbrough win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Stoke City35%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Middlesbrough39%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Stoke City
DrawWinLossWinLoss
- Feb 22 · at Norwich City (A)2-4
- Feb 15 · v Swansea City (H)3-1
- Feb 12 · at Bristol City (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · at Hull City (A)2-1
- Jan 25 · v Oxford United (H)0-0
Middlesbrough
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Feb 21 · at Bristol City (A)1-2
- Feb 15 · v Watford (H)0-1
- Feb 12 · at Sheffield United (A)1-3
- Feb 3 · v Sunderland (H)2-3
- Jan 25 · at Preston North End (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Stoke City | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-3 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.