Championship (England) · Sat, Jan 25 · 12:30 · Stoke City vs Oxford United
Likeliest: Stoke City win · 36%
A tight one: we make it 36% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Stoke City36%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Oxford United36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Stoke City
DrawDrawDrawLoss
- Jan 22 · at Portsmouth (A)1-3
- Jan 18 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-1
- Jan 4 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)0-0
- Jan 1 · at Burnley (A)0-0
Oxford United
DrawLossDrawWinWin
- Jan 21 · v Luton Town (H)3-2
- Jan 18 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)1-0
- Jan 14 · at Plymouth Argyle (A)1-1
- Jan 11 · at Exeter City (A)1-3
- Jan 4 · at Preston North End (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Stoke City | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 33% |
| Both teams scored | — | 67% |
| Clean sheets | — | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.