Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 15 · 15:00 · Stoke City vs Swansea City
Likeliest: Stoke City win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Stoke City38%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Swansea City33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Stoke City
DrawLossDrawWinLoss
- Feb 12 · at Bristol City (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · at Hull City (A)2-1
- Jan 25 · v Oxford United (H)0-0
- Jan 22 · at Portsmouth (A)1-3
- Jan 18 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-1
Swansea City
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Feb 12 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)0-1
- Feb 9 · at Bristol City (A)1-0
- Feb 1 · v Coventry City (H)0-2
- Jan 25 · at Norwich City (A)1-5
- Jan 21 · v Sheffield United (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Stoke City | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-2 | 1-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 11% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.