Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 1 · 15:00 · Stoke City vs Watford
Likeliest: Stoke City win · 36%
A tight one: we make it 36% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Stoke City36%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Watford36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Stoke City
WinLossWinLossLoss
- Feb 25 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-3
- Feb 22 · at Norwich City (A)2-4
- Feb 15 · v Swansea City (H)3-1
- Feb 12 · at Bristol City (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · at Hull City (A)2-1
Watford
LossDrawLossWinWin
- Feb 23 · v Luton Town (H)2-0
- Feb 15 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-0
- Feb 11 · v Leeds United (H)0-4
- Feb 8 · at Sunderland (A)2-2
- Feb 1 · v Norwich City (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Stoke City | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.