Ligue 1 (France) · Wed, Oct 29 · 20:05 · Strasbourg vs Auxerre
Likeliest: Strasbourg win · 57%
A tight one: we make it 57% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Strasbourg57%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Auxerre22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Strasbourg
WinWinDrawDrawLoss
- Oct 26 · at Olympique Lyonnais (A)1-2
- Oct 23 · v Jagiellonia Białystok (H)1-1
- Oct 17 · at Paris Saint Germain (A)3-3
- Oct 5 · v Angers SCO (H)5-0
- Oct 2 · at Slovan Bratislava (A)2-1
Auxerre
WinLossLossDrawLoss
- Oct 26 · v Le Havre (H)0-1
- Oct 19 · at Rennes (A)2-2
- Oct 4 · v Lens (H)1-2
- Sep 27 · at Paris Saint Germain (A)0-2
- Sep 21 · v Toulouse (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Strasbourg | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.