Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Feb 23 · 16:15 · Strasbourg vs Brest
Likeliest: Strasbourg win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Strasbourg52%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Brest24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Strasbourg
WinLossLossWinWin
- Feb 16 · at Lens (A)2-0
- Feb 9 · v Montpellier (H)2-0
- Feb 5 · v Angers SCO (H)1-3
- Feb 2 · at Rennes (A)0-1
- Jan 25 · v LOSC Lille (H)2-1
Brest
WinWinLossDrawLoss
- Feb 19 · at Paris Saint Germain (A)0-7
- Feb 14 · v Auxerre (H)2-2
- Feb 11 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)0-3
- Feb 7 · at Nantes (A)2-0
- Feb 4 · at Troyes (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Strasbourg | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-2 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.