Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Nov 9 · 16:15 · Strasbourg vs LOSC Lille
Likeliest: Strasbourg win · 59%
A tight one: we make it 59% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Strasbourg59%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
LOSC Lille19%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 41% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 76% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Strasbourg
DrawLossWinLossWin
- Nov 6 · at Häcken (A)2-1
- Nov 2 · at Rennes (A)1-4
- Oct 29 · v Auxerre (H)3-0
- Oct 26 · at Olympique Lyonnais (A)1-2
- Oct 23 · v Jagiellonia Białystok (H)1-1
LOSC Lille
LossWinLossWinLoss
- Nov 6 · at Crvena Zvezda (A)0-1
- Nov 2 · v Angers SCO (H)1-0
- Oct 29 · at Nice (A)0-2
- Oct 26 · v Metz (H)6-1
- Oct 23 · v PAOK (H)3-4
| Last 10 games | Strasbourg | LOSC Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-2 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.