3rd Division, Group 2 (Norway) · Sat, Sep 26 · 13:00 · Strindheim vs Molde FK II
Likeliest: Molde FK II win · 40%
A 22% draw. The market says 17%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Strindheim38%66%−28
OursMarket
Draw22%17%+5
OursMarket
Molde FK II40%16%+23
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 60% | 84% | −23 |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | 34% | +28 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 83% | −5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | 80% | −31 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Strindheim
WinWinWinWinDraw
- Sep 19 · at Volda (A)2-2
- Sep 12 · v FK Kvik (H)1-0
- Sep 5 · at Byasen Toppfotball (A)2-1
- Aug 30 · at Melhus (A)1-0
- Aug 15 · v NTNUI (H)4-0
Molde FK II
WinLossWinDrawWin
- Sep 20 · v Melhus (H)1-0
- Sep 12 · at NTNUI (A)4-4
- Sep 7 · v Aalesund FK II (H)3-2
- Aug 31 · at Spjelkavik (A)1-3
- Aug 17 · v Rosenborg BK II (H)3-0
| Last 10 games | Strindheim | Molde FK II |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-0 | 4-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 3.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.5 | 2.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 88% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 63% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.