3rd Division, Group 2 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 17 · 13:00 · Strindheim vs Orkla
Likeliest: Strindheim win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Strindheim53%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Orkla23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Strindheim
WinDrawWinWinWin
- Oct 12 · v Rosenborg BK II (H)5-1
- Oct 3 · at Nardo (A)1-0
- Sep 26 · v Molde FK II (H)10-0
- Sep 19 · at Volda (A)2-2
- Sep 12 · v FK Kvik (H)1-0
Orkla
DrawDrawLossLossLoss
- Oct 10 · v FK Kvik (H)0-1
- Oct 3 · at Volda (A)1-4
- Sep 26 · at Byasen Toppfotball (A)0-3
- Sep 20 · v Aalesund FK II (H)2-2
- Sep 12 · at Herd (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Strindheim | Orkla |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 9-1-0 | 1-3-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.4 | 3.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-0-0 | 0-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.