2. Liga (Austria) · Sat, Aug 8 · 15:30 · Sturm Graz II vs Floridsdorfer AC
Likeliest: Sturm Graz II win · 57%
We make it 54% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 50%.
4 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sturm Graz II57%23%+34
OursMarket
Draw23%24%−1
OursMarket
Floridsdorfer AC20%53%−33
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 50% | −4 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | 47% | +33 |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | 77% | −34 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 76% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | 31% | +43 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sturm Graz II
Loss
- Aug 1 · at First Vienna (A)0-4
Floridsdorfer AC
Win
- Jul 31 · v SKN St. Pölten (H)1-0