2. Liga (Austria) · Sun, Aug 30 · 08:30 · Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II
Likeliest: Sturm Graz II win · 60%
We make it 67% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 62%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sturm Graz II60%34%+26
OursMarket
Draw21%25%−5
OursMarket
Rapid Wien II20%41%−21
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 62% | +5 |
| Both teams score | 51% | 65% | −14 |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | 59% | +21 |
| Double chance X2 | 40% | 66% | −26 |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | 75% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 75% | 46% | +30 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sturm Graz II
LossWinLossLoss
- Aug 22 · at Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz (A)1-3
- Aug 15 · v Admira Wacker (H)0-2
- Aug 8 · v Floridsdorfer AC (H)4-2
- Aug 1 · at First Vienna (A)0-4
Rapid Wien II
WinLossWinLoss
- Aug 22 · v Floridsdorfer AC (H)0-2
- Aug 14 · at FC Hertha Wels (A)2-1
- Aug 8 · v ASK Voitsberg (H)1-3
- Jul 31 · at Admira Wacker (A)1-0