Premier League (England) · Sat, Nov 8 · 17:30 · Sunderland vs Arsenal
Likeliest: Arsenal win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sunderland30%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Arsenal42%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 42% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sunderland
WinLossWinWinDraw
- Nov 3 · v Everton (H)1-1
- Oct 25 · at Chelsea (A)2-1
- Oct 18 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)2-0
- Oct 4 · at Manchester United (A)0-2
- Sep 27 · at Nottingham Forest (A)1-0
Arsenal
WinWinWinWinWin
- Nov 4 · at Slavia Praha (A)3-0
- Nov 1 · at Burnley (A)2-0
- Oct 29 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)2-0
- Oct 26 · v Crystal Palace (H)1-0
- Oct 21 · v Atlético Madrid (H)4-0
| Last 10 games | Sunderland | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 10-0-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 10% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 90% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 8-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.