Premier League (England) · Mon, Nov 3 · 20:00 · Sunderland vs Everton
Likeliest: Sunderland win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sunderland49%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Everton26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sunderland
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Oct 25 · at Chelsea (A)2-1
- Oct 18 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)2-0
- Oct 4 · at Manchester United (A)0-2
- Sep 27 · at Nottingham Forest (A)1-0
- Sep 21 · v Aston Villa (H)1-1
Everton
LossDrawWinLossLoss
- Oct 26 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)0-3
- Oct 18 · at Manchester City (A)0-2
- Oct 5 · v Crystal Palace (H)2-1
- Sep 29 · v West Ham United (H)1-1
- Sep 23 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Sunderland | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 4-0-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.