Pro League (Belgium) · Sat, Oct 10 · 18:45 · SV Zulte Waregem vs KAA Gent
Likeliest: KAA Gent win · 38%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. The market says 38%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SV Zulte Waregem32%33%−1
OursMarket
Draw30%29%+1
OursMarket
KAA Gent38%38%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 48% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | 62% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 68% | 67% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | 71% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | 46% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SV Zulte Waregem
WinDrawWinLossLoss
- Sep 19 · at RSC Anderlecht (A)0-3
- Sep 13 · v RC Sporting Charleroi (H)0-1
- Sep 6 · at KV Kortrijk (A)2-0
- Aug 30 · at KVC Westerlo (A)2-2
- Aug 22 · v SK Beveren (H)4-0
KAA Gent
WinWinWinDrawWin
- Sep 18 · v Standard Liège (H)2-1
- Sep 13 · at KRC Genk (A)1-1
- Sep 6 · at Cercle Brugge (A)3-0
- Sep 3 · v Oud-Heverlee Leuven (H)1-0
- Aug 30 · v Club Brugge KV (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | SV Zulte Waregem | KAA Gent |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-2 | 7-3-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.