Pro League (Belgium) · Sun, Sep 13 · 16:30 · SV Zulte Waregem vs RC Sporting Charleroi
Likeliest: RC Sporting Charleroi win · 36%
A tight one: we make it 36% for the away win. The market says 36%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SV Zulte Waregem36%37%−1
OursMarket
Draw28%27%+1
OursMarket
RC Sporting Charleroi36%36%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 54% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 62% | 59% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 64% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 65% | 63% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | 51% | −1 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SV Zulte Waregem
WinDrawWinDrawWin
- Sep 6 · at KV Kortrijk (A)2-0
- Aug 30 · at KVC Westerlo (A)2-2
- Aug 22 · v SK Beveren (H)4-0
- Aug 15 · at Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (A)0-0
- Aug 9 · v KRC Genk (H)2-1
RC Sporting Charleroi
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Sep 5 · v Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (H)2-3
- Aug 29 · at KV Kortrijk (A)3-1
- Aug 22 · v KV Mechelen (H)2-0
- Aug 16 · at Lommel SK (A)1-0
- Aug 9 · v Oud-Heverlee Leuven (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | SV Zulte Waregem | RC Sporting Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-0 | 4-0-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.