Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 22 · 15:00 · Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers
Likeliest: Swansea City win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Swansea City49%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Blackburn Rovers25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Swansea City
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Feb 15 · at Stoke City (A)1-3
- Feb 12 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)0-1
- Feb 9 · at Bristol City (A)1-0
- Feb 1 · v Coventry City (H)0-2
- Jan 25 · at Norwich City (A)1-5
Blackburn Rovers
WinLossLossWinWin
- Feb 15 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)2-0
- Feb 12 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)2-0
- Feb 9 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)0-2
- Feb 4 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)1-2
- Jan 31 · v Preston North End (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Swansea City | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-8 | 5-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.