Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 8 · 15:00 · Swansea City vs Middlesbrough
Likeliest: Swansea City win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Swansea City42%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Middlesbrough32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Swansea City
WinLossLossWinDraw
- Mar 4 · at Preston North End (A)0-0
- Feb 22 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)3-0
- Feb 15 · at Stoke City (A)1-3
- Feb 12 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)0-1
- Feb 9 · at Bristol City (A)1-0
Middlesbrough
LossLossLossWinWin
- Mar 1 · v Derby County (H)1-0
- Feb 25 · at Stoke City (A)3-1
- Feb 21 · at Bristol City (A)1-2
- Feb 15 · v Watford (H)0-1
- Feb 12 · at Sheffield United (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Swansea City | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-7 | 3-0-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-1-3 | 2-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.