Championship (England) · Sun, Feb 8 · 12:01 · Swansea City vs Sheffield Wednesday
Likeliest: Swansea City win · 49%
A 28% away win. The market says 9%.
19 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Swansea City49%73%−24
OursMarket
Draw23%18%+5
OursMarket
Sheffield Wednesday28%9%+19
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 54% | 0 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 42% | +13 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 91% | −19 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 27% | +24 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 82% | −5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 89% | −26 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Swansea City
DrawDrawWinLossWin
- Jan 31 · at Watford (A)2-0
- Jan 24 · at Hull City (A)1-2
- Jan 20 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)3-1
- Jan 17 · v Birmingham City (H)1-1
- Jan 11 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)2-2
Sheffield Wednesday
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Feb 3 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-1
- Jan 31 · v Wrexham (H)0-1
- Jan 24 · at Bristol City (A)0-2
- Jan 20 · v Birmingham City (H)0-2
- Jan 17 · v Portsmouth (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Swansea City | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 0-2-8 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 10% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 0-2-8 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Swansea City form·Sheffield Wednesday form·Head-to-head record