Leagues Cup (North & Central America) · Wed, Aug 12 · 02:00 · Tigres UANL vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Likeliest: Tigres UANL win · 46%
We make it 61% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 44%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Tigres UANL46%52%−6
OursMarket
Draw27%23%+4
OursMarket
Vancouver Whitecaps27%25%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 56% | −18 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 54% | −3 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 75% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 48% | +6 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 77% | −4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 68% | −5 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Tigres UANL
LossDrawLossDrawDraw
- Aug 8 · v Minnesota United (H)0-0
- Aug 5 · v Real Salt Lake (H)1-1
- Aug 1 · at Querétaro FC (A)2-3
- Jul 25 · v Atlético San Luis (H)2-2
- Jul 17 · at Club Tijuana (A)1-3
Vancouver Whitecaps
LossDrawDrawLossLoss
- Aug 8 · v FC Juárez (H)1-3
- Aug 5 · v Atlante FC (H)0-1
- Aug 1 · v Los Angeles FC (H)1-1
- Jul 26 · at Minnesota United (A)0-0
- Jul 22 · at FC Cincinnati (A)3-4
| Last 10 games | Tigres UANL | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-5-3 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-4-1 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.