Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Feb 8 · 19:45 · Torino vs Genoa
Likeliest: Torino win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Torino44%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Genoa27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Torino
DrawDrawDrawWinDraw
- Feb 1 · at Atalanta (A)1-1
- Jan 24 · v Cagliari (H)2-0
- Jan 19 · at Fiorentina (A)1-1
- Jan 11 · v Juventus (H)1-1
- Jan 5 · v Parma (H)0-0
Genoa
DrawWinLossWinLoss
- Feb 2 · at Fiorentina (A)1-2
- Jan 27 · v Monza (H)2-0
- Jan 17 · at Roma (A)1-3
- Jan 12 · v Parma (H)1-0
- Jan 5 · at Lecce (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Torino | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-0 | 2-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.