Premier League (England) · Sun, Mar 9 · 14:00 · Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth
Likeliest: Tottenham Hotspur win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Tottenham Hotspur43%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
AFC Bournemouth29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Tottenham Hotspur
LossWinWinLossLoss
- Mar 6 · at AZ (A)0-1
- Feb 26 · v Manchester City (H)0-1
- Feb 22 · at Ipswich Town (A)4-1
- Feb 16 · v Manchester United (H)1-0
- Feb 9 · at Aston Villa (A)1-2
AFC Bournemouth
LossWinWinLossLoss
- Feb 25 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-2
- Feb 22 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)0-1
- Feb 15 · at Southampton (A)3-1
- Feb 8 · at Everton (A)2-0
- Feb 1 · v Liverpool (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Tottenham Hotspur | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-5 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-3 | 3-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Tottenham Hotspur form·AFC Bournemouth form·Head-to-head record