Premier League (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 17:30 · Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea
Likeliest: Chelsea win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Tottenham Hotspur36%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Chelsea39%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 48% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Tottenham Hotspur
WinLossDrawWinLoss
- Oct 29 · at Newcastle United (A)0-2
- Oct 26 · at Everton (A)3-0
- Oct 22 · at Monaco (A)0-0
- Oct 19 · v Aston Villa (H)1-2
- Oct 4 · at Leeds United (A)2-1
Chelsea
WinWinWinLossWin
- Oct 29 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)4-3
- Oct 25 · v Sunderland (H)1-2
- Oct 22 · v Ajax (H)5-1
- Oct 18 · at Nottingham Forest (A)3-0
- Oct 4 · v Liverpool (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Tottenham Hotspur | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-4 | 6-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.