Premier League (England) · Wed, Feb 26 · 19:30 · Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City
Likeliest: Tottenham Hotspur win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Tottenham Hotspur47%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Manchester City29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Tottenham Hotspur
WinLossLossWinWin
- Feb 22 · at Ipswich Town (A)4-1
- Feb 16 · v Manchester United (H)1-0
- Feb 9 · at Aston Villa (A)1-2
- Feb 6 · at Liverpool (A)0-4
- Feb 2 · at Brentford (A)2-0
Manchester City
WinLossWinLossLoss
- Feb 23 · v Liverpool (H)0-2
- Feb 19 · at Real Madrid (A)1-3
- Feb 15 · v Newcastle United (H)4-0
- Feb 11 · v Real Madrid (H)2-3
- Feb 8 · at Leyton Orient (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Tottenham Hotspur | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-5 | 5-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-2 | 2-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Tottenham Hotspur form·Manchester City form·Head-to-head record