Premier League (England) · Sun, Feb 16 · 16:30 · Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United
Likeliest: Tottenham Hotspur win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Tottenham Hotspur50%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Manchester United26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Tottenham Hotspur
LossWinWinLossLoss
- Feb 9 · at Aston Villa (A)1-2
- Feb 6 · at Liverpool (A)0-4
- Feb 2 · at Brentford (A)2-0
- Jan 30 · v Elfsborg (H)3-0
- Jan 26 · v Leicester City (H)1-2
Manchester United
WinWinWinLossWin
- Feb 7 · v Leicester City (H)2-1
- Feb 2 · v Crystal Palace (H)0-2
- Jan 30 · at FCSB (A)2-0
- Jan 26 · at Fulham (A)1-0
- Jan 23 · v Rangers (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Tottenham Hotspur | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-6 | 5-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Tottenham Hotspur form·Manchester United form·Head-to-head record