Premier League (England) · Sat, Nov 8 · 12:30 · Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United
Likeliest: Tottenham Hotspur win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Tottenham Hotspur46%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Manchester United29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Tottenham Hotspur
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Nov 4 · v FC København (H)4-0
- Nov 1 · v Chelsea (H)0-1
- Oct 29 · at Newcastle United (A)0-2
- Oct 26 · at Everton (A)3-0
- Oct 22 · at Monaco (A)0-0
Manchester United
LossWinWinWinDraw
- Nov 1 · at Nottingham Forest (A)2-2
- Oct 25 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)4-2
- Oct 19 · at Liverpool (A)2-1
- Oct 4 · v Sunderland (H)2-0
- Sep 27 · at Brentford (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Tottenham Hotspur | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-4 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Tottenham Hotspur form·Manchester United form·Head-to-head record