Premier League (England) · Sat, Jan 4 · 12:30 · Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United

    Likeliest: Tottenham Hotspur win · 42%

    A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Tottenham Hotspur42%——
    OursMarket
    Draw28%——
    OursMarket
    Newcastle United30%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals55%——
    Double chance 1X70%——
    Double chance X258%——
    Double chance 1272%——
    Draw no bet (home)58%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Every match we have priced today