Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Nov 2 · 16:15 · Toulouse vs Le Havre
Likeliest: Toulouse win · 56%
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Toulouse56%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Le Havre20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Toulouse
DrawWinWinLossDraw
- Oct 29 · v Rennes (H)2-2
- Oct 25 · at Monaco (A)0-1
- Oct 19 · v Metz (H)4-0
- Oct 5 · at Olympique Lyonnais (A)2-1
- Sep 27 · v Nantes (H)2-2
Le Havre
DrawDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 29 · v Brest (H)1-0
- Oct 26 · at Auxerre (A)1-0
- Oct 18 · at Olympique Marseille (A)2-6
- Oct 5 · v Rennes (H)2-2
- Sep 28 · at Metz (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Toulouse | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 4-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.