Ligue 1 (France) · Wed, Oct 29 · 20:05 · Toulouse vs Rennes
Likeliest: Toulouse win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Toulouse51%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Rennes25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Toulouse
LossDrawWinWinLoss
- Oct 25 · at Monaco (A)0-1
- Oct 19 · v Metz (H)4-0
- Oct 5 · at Olympique Lyonnais (A)2-1
- Sep 27 · v Nantes (H)2-2
- Sep 21 · at Auxerre (A)0-1
Rennes
DrawDrawDrawDrawLoss
- Oct 26 · v Nice (H)1-2
- Oct 19 · v Auxerre (H)2-2
- Oct 5 · at Le Havre (A)2-2
- Sep 28 · v Lens (H)0-0
- Sep 20 · at Nantes (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Toulouse | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 2-5-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.