Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Thu, Oct 8 · 13:30 · Tractor FC vs Esteghlal FC
Likeliest: draw · 38%
Likely score: 0–0
A tight one: we make it 38% for the draw. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Tractor FC38%——
OursMarket
Draw38%——
OursMarket
Esteghlal FC24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 56% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 37% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 62% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 0.8 | 0.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Tractor FC
WinDrawWinLossLoss
- Sep 14 · at Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (A)0-1
- Sep 10 · at Esteghlal Khuzestan (A)0-1
- Sep 5 · v Gol Gohar Sirjan (H)1-0
- Sep 1 · at Shams Azar Qazvin (A)0-0
- Aug 28 · at Chador Malu Yazd (A)2-0
Esteghlal FC
DrawDrawDrawWinWin
- Sep 14 · v Al-Sadd (H)3-0
- Sep 10 · v Paykan (H)1-0
- Sep 6 · at Aluminium Arak (A)0-0
- Sep 2 · v Persepolis FC (H)1-1
- Aug 28 · at Foolad Khuzestan (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Tractor FC | Esteghlal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 7-3-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 80% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.