3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Mon, Sep 21 · 12:00 · Tromsø IL II vs Kongsvinger 2
Likeliest: Tromsø IL II win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Tromsø IL II43%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Kongsvinger 231%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Tromsø IL II
WinDrawLossLossLoss
- Sep 14 · at Skjetten (A)2-3
- Sep 6 · v Harstad IL (H)0-1
- Aug 30 · at Skedsmo (A)1-3
- Aug 17 · at Bossekop (A)3-3
- Aug 8 · v Alta IF (H)3-0
Kongsvinger 2
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Sep 13 · v Fløya (H)1-5
- Sep 6 · at Skjervøy (A)1-3
- Aug 30 · v IL Ulfstind (H)2-1
- Aug 16 · at Alta IF (A)0-6
- Aug 10 · v Strømsgodset II (H)2-3
| Last 10 games | Tromsø IL II | Kongsvinger 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-4 | 2-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 86% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.