3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Sun, Oct 11 · 13:30 · Tromsø IL II vs Lillestrøm SK 2
Likeliest: Tromsø IL II win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Tromsø IL II37%——
OursMarket
Draw30%——
OursMarket
Lillestrøm SK 233%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Tromsø IL II
LossLossWinWinDraw
- Oct 3 · v Finnsnes IL (H)1-1
- Sep 27 · at FK Fauske/Sprint (A)3-0
- Sep 21 · v Kongsvinger 2 (H)6-0
- Sep 14 · at Skjetten (A)2-3
- Sep 6 · v Harstad IL (H)0-1
Lillestrøm SK 2
WinLossLossLossDraw
- Oct 4 · v Strømsgodset II (H)3-3
- Sep 27 · at Alta IF (A)2-6
- Sep 20 · v FK Fauske/Sprint (H)2-4
- Sep 14 · at Skedsmo (A)1-2
- Sep 6 · v Bossekop (H)11-0
| Last 10 games | Tromsø IL II | Lillestrøm SK 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 3.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-2 | 1-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.