3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Sun, Oct 25 · 15:00 · Tromsø IL II vs Skjervøy
Likeliest: Tromsø IL II win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Tromsø IL II47%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Skjervøy26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Tromsø IL II
WinWinDrawWinLoss
- Oct 18 · at Fløya (A)0-3
- Oct 11 · v Lillestrøm SK 2 (H)2-0
- Oct 3 · v Finnsnes IL (H)1-1
- Sep 27 · at FK Fauske/Sprint (A)3-0
- Sep 21 · v Kongsvinger 2 (H)6-0
Skjervøy
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Oct 18 · v Strømsgodset II (H)1-3
- Oct 10 · at Alta IF (A)1-2
- Oct 4 · v FK Fauske/Sprint (H)3-0
- Sep 26 · at Finnsnes IL (A)0-2
- Sep 22 · at Skjetten (A)1-6
| Last 10 games | Tromsø IL II | Skjervøy |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-2 | 1-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.