Ligue 2 (France) · Fri, Feb 14 · 19:00 · Troyes vs Lorient
Likeliest: Troyes win · 59%
A tight one: we make it 59% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Troyes59%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Lorient16%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 84% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 41% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 78% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Troyes
LossLossWinLossWin
- Feb 7 · at Martigues (A)2-1
- Feb 4 · v Brest (H)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Caen (H)3-0
- Jan 24 · at Laval (A)0-1
- Jan 20 · v Annecy (H)0-1
Lorient
LossWinWinWinWin
- Feb 8 · v Amiens SC (H)3-1
- Feb 1 · at Red Star (A)2-1
- Jan 25 · v Clermont (H)3-2
- Jan 18 · at Dunkerque (A)1-0
- Jan 15 · at Cannes (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Troyes | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-4 | 4-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 29% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.