Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 8 · 14:30 · TSG Hoffenheim vs FC Union Berlin
Likeliest: TSG Hoffenheim win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
TSG Hoffenheim43%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
FC Union Berlin31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
TSG Hoffenheim
WinLossDrawWinLoss
- Feb 2 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)1-3
- Jan 30 · at Anderlecht (A)4-3
- Jan 26 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)2-2
- Jan 23 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)2-3
- Jan 18 · at Holstein Kiel (A)3-1
FC Union Berlin
LossLossWinLossDraw
- Feb 1 · v RB Leipzig (H)0-0
- Jan 26 · at St. Pauli (A)0-3
- Jan 19 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)2-1
- Jan 15 · v FC Augsburg (H)0-2
- Jan 11 · at Heidenheim (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | TSG Hoffenheim | FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-4 | 1-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
TSG Hoffenheim form·FC Union Berlin form·Head-to-head record