Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Nov 8 · 14:30 · TSG Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig
Likeliest: TSG Hoffenheim win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
TSG Hoffenheim43%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
RB Leipzig30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
TSG Hoffenheim
DrawLossWinWinWin
- Nov 2 · at VfL Wolfsburg (A)3-2
- Oct 25 · v Heidenheim (H)3-1
- Oct 19 · at St. Pauli (A)3-0
- Oct 3 · v FC Köln (H)0-1
- Sep 28 · at SC Freiburg (A)1-1
RB Leipzig
DrawWinWinWinWin
- Nov 1 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)3-1
- Oct 28 · at Energie Cottbus (A)4-1
- Oct 25 · at FC Augsburg (A)6-0
- Oct 18 · v Hamburger SV (H)2-1
- Oct 4 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | TSG Hoffenheim | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 8-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-5 | 6-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.