Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Feb 23 · 18:30 · TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Likeliest: TSG Hoffenheim win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
TSG Hoffenheim44%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
VfB Stuttgart32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
TSG Hoffenheim
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Feb 16 · at Werder Bremen (A)3-1
- Feb 8 · v FC Union Berlin (H)0-4
- Feb 2 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)1-3
- Jan 30 · at Anderlecht (A)4-3
- Jan 26 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)2-2
VfB Stuttgart
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Feb 15 · v VfL Wolfsburg (H)1-2
- Feb 8 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)2-1
- Feb 4 · v FC Augsburg (H)1-0
- Feb 1 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)1-2
- Jan 29 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)1-4
| Last 10 games | TSG Hoffenheim | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-5 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.