Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Nov 1 · 14:00 · Udinese vs Atalanta
Likeliest: Udinese win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Udinese43%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Atalanta32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Udinese
LossDrawDrawWinLoss
- Oct 29 · at Juventus (A)1-3
- Oct 25 · v Lecce (H)3-2
- Oct 20 · at Cremonese (A)1-1
- Oct 5 · v Cagliari (H)1-1
- Sep 28 · at Sassuolo (A)1-3
Atalanta
DrawDrawDrawDrawDraw
- Oct 28 · v Milan (H)1-1
- Oct 25 · at Cremonese (A)1-1
- Oct 22 · v Slavia Praha (H)0-0
- Oct 19 · v Lazio (H)0-0
- Oct 4 · v Como (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Udinese | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 3-6-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 5-3-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.